A Princess's Love Story

Probability on the TI-73

Once upon a time, there was a powerful king.  He wanted his daughter, Princess Sophie to marry a wealthy man with royal blood.  With this in mind, he arranged a wedding with the neighboring king’s son, Prince Ernest.  At first, Princess Sophie did not seem to oppose to the arranged marriage, however, as fate would have it, she met a young man in the village and fell in love with him.  This man’s name was Solomon.

Princess Sophie pleaded with her father to cancel the arranged marriage so that she could marry Solomon, the man she loved.  At first the king was furious.  He wanted to throw Solomon to the lions.  It took many hours of his beloved daughter’s begging to convince him to allow the following compromise.

The king demanded that Solomon enter a maze which led to two rooms.  In one would be the fair Princess Sophie, and in the other would be lions…hungry lions!!!

Lion PictureLion PictureLion Picture

Look closely at the maze below and decide in which room you would wait if you were Princess Sophie.

To simulate Solomon’s fate, use the TI-73 to roll a die at point A.  If it lands on 1 or 2, Solomon goes left.  If it lands on 3 or 4, Solomon goes straight.  If it lands on 5 or 6, Solomon goes right.  At points B, C, and D, use the TI-73 to flip a coin.  If a Head appears, Solomon goes left.  If a Tail appears, Solomon goes right.

TI-73: APPS: 6: Prob Sim

Simulate the experiment 20 times, and record in the table below the room in which he arrives.
 
Trial #
Room X
Room Y
Trial #
Room X
Room Y
1 . . 11 . .
2 . . 12 . .
3 . . 13 . .
4 . . 14 . .
5 . . 15 . .
6 . . 16 . .
7 . . 17 . .
8 . . 18 . .
9 . . 19 . .
10 . . 20 . .

According to your experiments, in which room should Princess Sophie wait if she wants the best chance of marrying Solomon?
 

We can use a tree diagram to determine the theoretical probability of Solomon’s ending up in Room X or Room Y.



What is the theoretical probability of Solomon winding up in Room X?
   
What is the theoretical probability of Solomon winding up in Room Y?
   
Where should Princess Sophie wait if she wants to have the best chance of marrying Solomon?
 
Even if Princess Sophie waits in the best room, is it still possible that Solomon will be eaten by lions?  Explain.
 

Updated: 08/21/2003

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